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Monday · June 29 · 7:05 pm ✦

TIGERS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

TIGERS 7
Yankees 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 7–3 Tigers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Yankees 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games