Sunday · June 21 · 1:38 PM ✦
REDS @ YANKEES
Yankee Stadium. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf
Final
REDS
4
Yankees
1
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–1 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Yankees | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Yankees | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games