← Back to the recap

Saturday · June 20 · 1:39 PM ✦

REDS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 16 mph out to rf

Final

REDS 10
Yankees 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 10–2 Reds

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games