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Friday · June 5 · 7:05 pm ✦

RED SOX @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

RED SOX 5
Yankees 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–3 Red Sox

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 53% 47% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 43% 57% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games