Friday · May 22 ✦
RAYS @ YANKEES
Yankee Stadium.
Final
RAYS
4
Yankees
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 2–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–2 Rays
71%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Yankees | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 18% | 82% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Yankees | 22% | 78% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 18% | 82% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Yankees | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games