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Wednesday · May 20 · 9:16 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 72 degrees, drizzle, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

BLUE JAYS 2
Yankees 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 2–1 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 42% 58% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Logistic New York Yankees 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 46% 54% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games