Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 20 · 9:16 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 72 degrees, drizzle, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

BLUE JAYS 2
Yankees 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 2–1 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 42% 58% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic New York Yankees 45% 55%
Random Forest New York Yankees 46% 54%
Consensus New York Yankees 45% 55% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games