Back to the recap

Tuesday · May 19 ✦

BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium.

Final

Blue Jays 4
YANKEES 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–5 Yankees

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 42% 58% 3–5
Logistic New York Yankees 42% 58%
Random Forest New York Yankees 40% 60%
Consensus New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games