Back to the recap

Monday · May 18 · 7:09 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 80 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph in from rf

Final

Blue Jays 6
YANKEES 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 6–7 Yankees

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 54% 46%
Random Forest New York Yankees 43% 57%
Consensus New York Yankees 44% 56% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games