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Monday · May 4 · 7:10 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 70 degrees, clear, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

Orioles 1
YANKEES 12

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–12 Yankees

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Yankees Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 45% 55% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 29% 71% 3–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 43% 57% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games