Back to the recap

Saturday · May 2 · 1:38 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ YANKEES

Yankee Stadium. · 63 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

Orioles 4
YANKEES 9

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–9 Yankees

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Yankees Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 35% 65% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic New York Yankees 38% 62%
Random Forest New York Yankees 32% 68%
Consensus New York Yankees 42% 58% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games