Sunday · September 20 · 1:11 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ METS
Citi Field. · 68 degrees, drizzle, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
7
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 7–2 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 31% | 69% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games