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Saturday · September 19 · 4:30 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ METS

Citi Field. · 68 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Phillies 3
METS 10

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–10 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Mets Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 55% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 47% 53% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 40% 60% 4–5 ✓
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 36% 64% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games