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Friday · September 18 · 7:15 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ METS

Citi Field. · 77 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph in from cf

Final

Phillies 3
METS 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–6 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Mets Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games