Thursday · September 17 · 7:15 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ METS
Citi Field. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
3
Mets
0
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–0 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games