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Tuesday · September 15 · 7:10 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ METS

Citi Field. · 68 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

ORIOLES 7
Mets 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 7–5 Orioles

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 43% 57% — ✗
Consensus New York Mets 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games