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Monday · September 14 · 7:10 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ METS

Citi Field. · 70 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph in from lf

Final

ORIOLES 2
Mets 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 2–1 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 44% 56% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 42% 58% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games