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Wednesday · September 16 · 7:10 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ METS

Citi Field. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

ORIOLES 7
Mets 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 7–1 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus New York Mets 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games