Sunday · August 30 · 3:11 PM ✦
ASTROS @ METS
Citi Field. · 81 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf
Final
ASTROS
6
Mets
3
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 6–3 Astros
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games