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Thursday · August 27 · 7:10 pm ✦

BREWERS @ METS

Citi Field. · 76 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

BREWERS 8
Mets 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 8–2 Brewers

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games