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Saturday · August 29 · 4:10 PM ✦

ASTROS @ METS

Citi Field. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph in from lf

Final

Astros 2
METS 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 2–6 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Mets Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 45% 55% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games