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Friday · August 28 · 7:10 pm ✦

ASTROS @ METS

Citi Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph l to r

Final

ASTROS 3
Mets 1

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–1 Astros

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Mets Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 60% 40% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 60% 40% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest New York Mets 38% 62% — ✗
Consensus Houston Astros 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games