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Tuesday · August 18 · 7:10 pm ✦

PADRES @ METS

Citi Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 5
Mets 2

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–2 Padres

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Mets Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 46% 54%
Random Forest New York Mets 41% 59%
Consensus San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

Mets this season

68–54

56% across 122 games