Wednesday · August 19 · 1:10 PM ✦
PADRES @ METS
Citi Field. · 85 degrees, sunny, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Padres
2
METS
4
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–4 Mets
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games