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Saturday · August 15 · 4:10 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ METS

Citi Field. · 83 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph out to lf

Final

Nationals 4
METS 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–5 Mets

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic New York Mets 45% 55%
Random Forest New York Mets 35% 65%
Consensus New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

67–56

54% across 123 games

Mets this season

68–54

56% across 122 games