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Monday · August 17 · 7:10 pm ✦

PADRES @ METS

Citi Field. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph in from cf

Final

Padres 1
METS 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 1–2 Mets

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 33% 67% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 42% 58%
Random Forest New York Mets 41% 59%
Consensus New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

75–46

62% across 121 games

Mets this season

68–54

56% across 122 games