Sunday · August 16 · 1:40 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ METS
Citi Field. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
Nationals
3
METS
4
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–4 Mets
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games