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Friday · August 14 · 7:10 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ METS

Citi Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Nationals 1
METS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 1–4 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 49% 51% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 56% 44%
Random Forest New York Mets 48% 52%
Consensus New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games