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Sunday · August 2 · 1:40 PM ✦

MARLINS @ METS

Citi Field. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

MARLINS 2
Mets 0

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 2–0 Marlins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 53% 47%
Random Forest New York Mets 40% 60%
Consensus Miami Marlins 50% 50% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games