Friday · July 31 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARLINS @ METS
Citi Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf
Final
MARLINS
5
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 5–2 Marlins
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
67–56
54% across 123 games
Mets this season
68–55
55% across 123 games