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Friday · July 31 · 7:10 pm ✦

MARLINS @ METS

Citi Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

MARLINS 5
Mets 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 5–2 Marlins

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 38% 62% 4–5
Logistic Miami Marlins 54% 46%
Random Forest New York Mets 30% 70%
Consensus New York Mets 45% 55% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games