Saturday · August 1 · 4:30 PM ✦
MARLINS @ METS
Citi Field. · 87 degrees, sunny, wind 4 mph out to lf
Final
MARLINS
6
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 6–2 Marlins
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
67–56
54% across 123 games
Mets this season
68–55
55% across 123 games