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Thursday · July 30 · 7:10 pm ✦

MARLINS @ METS

Citi Field. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf

Final

Marlins 2
METS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 2–4 Mets

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 35% 65% 3–4
Logistic Miami Marlins 56% 44%
Random Forest New York Mets 31% 69%
Consensus New York Mets 46% 54% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games