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Wednesday · July 29 · 1:10 PM ✦

BRAVES @ METS

Citi Field. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r

Final

Braves 2
METS 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–3 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Mets Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 42% 58%
Random Forest New York Mets 41% 59%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

63–61

51% across 124 games

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games