Monday · July 27 · 7:10 pm ✦
BRAVES @ METS
Citi Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf
Final
Braves
3
METS
14
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–14 Mets
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games