Friday · July 24 · 7:10 pm ✦
DODGERS @ METS
Citi Field. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
DODGERS
4
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–2 Dodgers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Los Angeles Dodgers | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–57
64% across 157 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games