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Sunday · July 12 · 1:41 PM ✦

RED SOX @ METS

Citi Field. · 83 degrees, sunny, wind 2 mph in from rf

Final

RED SOX 3
Mets 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–2 Red Sox

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 35% 65% 2–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 27% 73% 2–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic New York Mets 46% 54%
Random Forest New York Mets 46% 54%
Consensus New York Mets 39% 61% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

67–57

54% across 124 games

Mets this season

69–55

56% across 124 games