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Saturday · July 11 · 4:11 PM ✦

RED SOX @ METS

Citi Field. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

RED SOX 4
Mets 0

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 4–0 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Mets Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 48% 52%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 54% 46%
Consensus New York Mets 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

67–57

54% across 124 games

Mets this season

69–55

56% across 124 games