Friday · July 10 · 7:15 pm ✦
RED SOX @ METS
Citi Field. · 83 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
RED SOX
6
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 6–2 Red Sox
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
67–57
54% across 124 games
Mets this season
69–55
56% across 124 games