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Wednesday · July 8 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ METS

Citi Field. · 77 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

Royals 2
METS 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 2–6 Mets

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 31% 69% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic New York Mets 46% 54%
Random Forest New York Mets 28% 72%
Consensus New York Mets 40% 60% 4–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–59

53% across 125 games

Mets this season

69–55

56% across 124 games