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Thursday · July 9 · 1:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ METS

Citi Field. · 83 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph in from cf

Final

Royals 3
METS 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–7 Mets

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Mets Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 42% 58% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games