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Tuesday · July 7 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ METS

Citi Field. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from lf

Final

ROYALS 16
Mets 12

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 16–12 Royals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Mets Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 43% 57%
Random Forest New York Mets 32% 68%
Consensus New York Mets 44% 56% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games