Sunday · June 28 · 1:41 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ METS
Citi Field. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf
Final
PHILLIES
5
Mets
4
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 5–4 Phillies
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 28% | 72% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
55–30
65% across 85 games
Mets this season
48–37
56% across 85 games