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Saturday · June 27 · 4:10 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ METS

Citi Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Phillies 2
METS 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 2–6 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Mets Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42%
Random Forest New York Mets 41% 59%
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games