Friday · June 26 · 7:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ METS
Citi Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
PHILLIES
2
Mets
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–1 Phillies
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 76% | 24% | 6–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | 5–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
55–30
65% across 85 games
Mets this season
48–37
56% across 85 games