← Back to the recap

Wednesday · June 24 ✦

CUBS @ METS

Citi Field.

Final

CUBS 10
Mets 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 10–5 Cubs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Mets Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 52% 48% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 52% 48% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games