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Thursday · June 25 · 7:10 pm ✦

CUBS @ METS

Citi Field. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

CUBS 4
Mets 3

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–3 Cubs

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Mets Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 5–5
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 49% 51%
Random Forest New York Mets 34% 66%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

39–46

46% across 85 games

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games