Tuesday · June 23 · 7:10 pm ✦
CUBS @ METS
Citi Field. · 71 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph in from lf
Final
CUBS
9
Mets
6
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 9–6 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
40–46
47% across 86 games
Mets this season
49–37
57% across 86 games