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Saturday · June 13 · 4:11 PM ✦

BRAVES @ METS

Citi Field. · 88 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

BRAVES 3
Mets 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–1 Braves

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 38% 62% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic New York Mets 47% 53%
Random Forest New York Mets 37% 63%
Consensus New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

45–41

52% across 86 games

Mets this season

49–37

57% across 86 games