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Sunday · May 31 · 1:40 PM ✦

MARLINS @ METS

Citi Field. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Marlins 1
METS 10

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 1–10 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Mets Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 50% 50%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 56% 44%
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Mets this season

50–37

57% across 87 games