Saturday · May 30 ✦
MARLINS @ METS
Citi Field.
Final
Marlins
1
METS
6
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–6 Mets
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 69% | 31% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games