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Saturday · May 16 · 7:16 PM ✦

YANKEES @ METS

Citi Field. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Yankees 3
METS 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–6 Mets

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 35% 65% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic New York Yankees 57% 43%
Random Forest New York Mets 38% 62%
Consensus New York Mets 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games